Kronik
Modsat Palæstina og Iran, hvor der trods alt udtrykkes en vis modstand på såvel politisk som på opinionsniveau, er der få der støtter Rusland.
– Selvom de fleste såkaldt oplyste mennesker umuligt kan være uvidende om, at Nato har ekspanderet siden den Kolde Krig, og at Nato´s seneste forsøg på at få kontrol over Ukraine logisk skal ses i denne sammenhæng. Alligevel forholder de sig indifferent eller støtter uden forhold, og uden at reflektere og skaffe sig viden om omstændighederne omkring den ulovlige magtovertagelse på Maidan-Pladsen i 2014, kupstyret i Kiev, og køber altså betingelsesløst Nato´s narrativ om at Rusland – der forsvarer de sidste rester af den eks-sovjetiske sikkerhedssfære – aftalt på Jalta-Konferencen i 1945 – som imperialistisk!
Selv Gilbert Doctorow, der ellers dedikeret støtter Rusland, er kommet i tvivl om Rusland kan nedkæmpe Nazi-styret:
Is Russia losing the war?
Major media such as The Financial Times and Le Figaro have in recent days provided extensive coverage on the status of the Russia-Ukraine war, presenting strong arguments for our reconsidering who in fact is winning and who is losing.
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As these media point out with reference to Ukrainian monitors reporting gains and losses of territory, the Russian spring offensive this year has produced dismal results, capturing in May something like 130 square kilometers of Ukrainian held Donbas, whereas a year earlier the Russian advance was 10 times greater. The explanation they offer is the progressively more impactful and destructive Ukrainian drones which are raining down on the battlefield and make large troop formations impossible.
I note that the Russian state news remains entirely silent on these reports. They are not challenged, meaning they are likely correct.
I offer a possible alternative explanation of the paltry territorial conquest this May: since last October, the Russian armed forces have concentrated not on advances in open fields but on capturing the major defensive city of Konstantinovka, which is the path through which they must pass to take the last fortified towns in Donetsk, Kramatorsk and Slavyansk. The fighting is still intense for capture of one or another district in Konstantinovka and it is surely costly in men on both sides.
Meanwhile, the latest reports in the FT make the point that I had been making in past weeks, namely that the drone warfare is a great leveler. A force of 10,000 to 20,000 drone operators is all that Ukraine needs to hold its own against the half million Russian soldiers deployed in the Special Military Operation. The fact that Ukraine has lost millions of soldiers to death, severe injury and desertion now counts for nothing.
Where Western propaganda comes in is to be found elsewhere in their reporting. They are alleging that the vast numbers of more effective and farther-reaching Ukrainian drones in operation today are the result of the clever work of Ukrainian designers and manufacturers, who stay several steps ahead of the Russians in this domain. To be sure, there is no publicly available information to deal with this question either way. The fog of war, meaning close military censorship, deprives us of any reliable information. However, I will wager that the breakthrough in the Ukrainian cause on the ground is being provided by the United Kingdom and other NATO countries shipping their latest drones to Ukraine in quantity.
This presents the Russian leadership with a stark question: is it prepared to use its unstoppable hypersonic missiles to destroy the drone factories in England, France, Denmark, Sweden, etc? I maintain that the risk of escalation to all-out Russia-NATO war resulting from such attacks would be nil. Europe is utterly unprepared to go into full scale direct war with Russia today. It is not clear that it will be ready in two or three years. There is, consequently, a window of opportunity for Russia to take charge and change the security landscape in Europe here and now while also bombing and destroying the Zelensky junta in Kiev.
Will President Putin rise from his timid, now self-destructive strategy of non-response to the growing threats to Russian national security? Or will he be overthrown in a palace coup? These are the key questions of the day
Rusland/ Putin har siden 2014 naivt troet på Minsk- og Istanbul-aftaler, på tilsvarende vis som Gorbatjov naivt troede på Nato´s forsikringer om, at Nato ikke ville ekspandere en tomme efter Sovjets opløsning! De er altså ikke marxist-leninister, der teoretisk/empirisk kender imperialismens natur.
Siden 2022 har Putin udstedet endeløse tomme trusler om at gengælde Nato´s angreb via Ukraine – hvilket har givet Nato blod på tanden.
Nato er efterhånden overbevist om at Rusland under ingen omstændigheder vil gengælde mod Nato, og heller ikke anvende a-våben (det er jo ikke rart at få skylden for at udløse atomragnarok, selvom Nato/EU gør hvad de kan for at fremprovokere en sådan situation) – uanset at det er truet på sin eksistens. Og Moskva har jo længe været under massivt Nato-ukrainsk droneangreb, hvilket ikke engang var tilfældet under Anden Verdenskrig.
– Så der er ingen tvivl om at Nato-Ukraine vil intensivere deres angreb på Rusland/Moskva.
Og Rusland kæmper alene mod Nato-økonomier, der er langt større.
